Econ6000 Economic Principles And Assignment Answers

Describe the Economic Principles and Decision Making For Regression.

Answer:

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0.96

R Square

0.91

Adjusted R Square

0.90

Standard Error

7.82

Observations

21

 

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

3

11019.2105

3673.0702

60.07749

2.94899E-09

Residual

17

1039.36093

61.138878

 

 

Total

20

12058.57143

 

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

-12.1602

11.3076

-1.0754

0.2972

-36.0172

11.6968

Average income per person

0.0048

0.0018

2.6652

0.0163

0.0010

0.0087

Tariff rate on imports of energy bars

-6.4570

1.0416

-6.1990

0.0000

-8.6546

-4.2594

Number of stores where energy bars are offered

4.0724

1.8978

2.1459

0.0466

0.0684

8.0765

The regression analysis evaluates impact of income, tariff and number of stores on the demand for energy bars.  From the regression it is found that income has a positive effect on demand while tariff has a negative effect on energy bar demand. So far as number of stores are concerned the coefficient is 4.0724. This positive and significant effect implies that offering energy bars to an additional store helps to increase energy bar demand

The coefficient of tariff from the regression is found to be -6.4570. The negative coefficient implies tariff has a negative effect on demand. With unit increase in tariff demand decreases by 6 units. The coefficient is statistically significant as indicated by the significant p value (value less than 0.05) (Draper & Smith, 2014).

PW in figure 1 represents the world price without nay restriction. After imposition of tariff price in the domestic market increases to Ptariff. Because of higher price after tariff, demand reduces from QD1 to QD2. The higher price reduces consumer surplus to A. Producer surplus increases to B + C. The lost consumer surplus however does not completely transfers to producers (Feenstra, 2015). This causes a misallocation of resources leading to a welfare loss represented by the area D + G.

As discussed in the previous section imposition of tariff in Industria causes a welfare loss in the market. In response to higher price of Scmeckt Gut’s energy bar people in Industria would substitute Schmeckt Gut’s energy bar with some cheaper brand that might affect consumer’s health. Because of tariff Schmeckt Gut would face a loss in the market share in Industria. Followed by standard theory of trade, it is thus mutually beneficial for both the nation to encourage free trade between the two nations (Viner, 2016). The theoretical overview of trade is further supported by the regression analysis. The regression analysis suggests indicates a significant negative effect of tariff on energy bar demand and welfare.

Reference list 

Draper, N. R., & Smith, H. (2014). Applied regression analysis(Vol. 326). John Wiley & Sons.

Feenstra, R. C. (2015). Advanced international trade: theory and evidence. Princeton university press.

Viner, J. (2016). Studies in the theory of international trade. Routledge.


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